Now the excess of the Xmas period is over, it’s time to look back on how the Whistler real estate market fared in 2011. I will be producing a more detailed report in due course, but here are the headlines:
- Aggregate sales volume was up 19% in volume at 547 units (2010: 459) and up 5% in value terms at $358m (2010: $340m).
- Sales in the $1m+ range were relatively stable but the number of units sold for less than $0.5m jumped 32% to 281 (2010: 213), while those in the $0.5-1m range climbed 11% to 177 (2010: 159)
- Nearly all property types saw sales volumes increase; those which performed strongly were chalets under $1.5m – 70 sales (2009: 55), townhouses – 187 sales (2010: 153 sales), and condos – 165 sales (2010: 118)
- Pricing: the median chalet sales price remained fairly constant at $1,106k (2010: $1,110k), the median townhouse sale price fell 5% to $599k (2010: $633k), the median condo price fell 12% to $275k (2010: $314k)
- Pricing per square foot of Phase 1 property: in the Benchlands the median sale price per square foot fell 9% to $592 (2010: $637), in the Village the median fell 11% to $494 (2010: $557), and in Nordic/Creekside it was fairly static at $523 (2010: $533)
Conclusions: 2011 saw a certain level of capitulation by sellers, particularly of townhouses and condos (both Phase 1 and Phase 2) – they became prepared to accept lower selling prices which, in turn, boosted sales volumes. A key component in this was selling activity by Americans – the strength of the Canadian dollar allowed them to accept lower prices for their homes and still not lose too much on their investment. In addition, most buyers were from the Lower Mainland focused on getting themselves a ski home without tying up too much capital – that led to the surge in activity in the sub-$1m price category, further pulling down median selling prices.
Where next for the Whistler real estate market?
Short-term: I’m expecting to see a continuation of the strong sales activity we have seen in 2011. There are a lot of buyers out there – they remain price savvy but, equally, are excited by the opportunity to purchase at price levels not seen since 2001. There is still an overhang (albeit smaller) of US sellers out there and this will keep prices subdued for the time being. However, if the buyers keep coming, we are a relatively small real estate market and at some point it will turn sharply. Against this, the global economic backdrop remains uncertain – however, many Whistler buyers are not so affected by these issues other than psychologically.
Medium to long-term there are a number of factors that may benefit Whistler over the next 5-10 years:
- Retiring baby boomers: downsizing their City homes and opting for a healthy outdoor lifestyle in Whistler while keeping a City condo.
- Flexible working: we are seeing more buyers able to locate their principal residence in Whistler due to the fact that they work remotely and are within easy striking distance of Vancouver and its airport when they need to travel.
- Asian buyers: we are beginning to see more interest from the Asian community in Vancouver. There are now over half a million in Greater Vancouver and, as yet, they have not been big buyers of Whistler real estate. This could change quickly once a few early adopters take the plunge.
- Whistler remains a great resort with reliable snow, close to a big city: Whistler’s geographic advantages will ensure it remains a sought after destination for both holidaymakers and homeowners.
Happy New Year and give me a call on 604 902 1047 if you have any questions regarding the Whistler market!